An Economic Analysis of Conflicts

With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949

de

Éditeur :

Springer


Paru le : 2016-07-27



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Description

This book provides a quantitative framework for the analysis of conflict dynamics and for estimating the economic costs associated with civil wars. The author develops modified Lotka-Volterra equations to model conflict dynamics, to yield realistic representations of battle processes, and to allow us to assess prolonged conflict traps. The economic costs of civil wars are evaluated with the help of two alternative methods: Firstly, the author employs a production function to determine how the destruction of human and physical capital stocks undermines economic growth in the medium term. Secondly, he develops a synthetic control approach, where the cost is obtained as the divergence of actual economic activity from a hypothetical path in the absence of civil war. The difference between the two approaches gives an indication of the adverse externalities impinging upon the economy in the form of institutional destruction. By using detailed time-series regarding battle casualties, localsocio-economic indicators, and capital stock destruction during the Greek Civil War (1946-1949), a full-scale application of the above framework is presented and discussed.
Pages
160 pages
Collection
n.c
Parution
2016-07-27
Marque
Springer
EAN papier
9783319322605
EAN PDF
9783319322612

Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
1
Nombre pages imprimables
16
Taille du fichier
2744 Ko
Prix
94,94 €
EAN EPUB
9783319322612

Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
1
Nombre pages imprimables
16
Taille du fichier
1065 Ko
Prix
94,94 €

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