Téléchargez le livre : Stochastic Flood Forecasting System

Stochastic Flood Forecasting System

The Middle River Vistula Case Study

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Éditeur :

Springer


Collection :

GeoPlanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences

Paru le : 2015-06-29



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Description

This book presents the novel formulation and development of a Stochastic Flood Forecasting System, using the Middle River Vistula basin in Poland as a case study. The system has a modular structure, including models describing the rainfall-runoff and snow-melt processes for tributary catchments and the transformation of a flood wave within the reach. The sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the elements of the study system are performed at both the calibration and verification stages. The spatial and temporal variability of catchment land use and river flow regime based on analytical studies and measurements is presented. A lumped parameter approximation to the distributed modelling of river flow is developed for the purpose of flow forecasting. Control System based emulators (Hammerstein-Wiener models) are applied to on-line data assimilation. Medium-range probabilistic weather forecasts (ECMWF) and on-line observations of temperature, precipitation and water levels are used to prolong the forecast lead time. The potential end-users will also benefit from a description of social vulnerability to natural hazards in the study area.
Pages
198 pages
Collection
GeoPlanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Parution
2015-06-29
Marque
Springer
EAN papier
9783319188539
EAN PDF
9783319188546
Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
1
Nombre pages imprimables
19
Taille du fichier
8561 Ko
Ce livre est accessible aux handicaps Voir les informations sur l'accessibilité
Prix
94,94 €
EAN EPUB
9783319188546
Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
1
Nombre pages imprimables
19
Taille du fichier
4659 Ko
Ce livre est accessible aux handicaps Voir les informations sur l'accessibilité
Prix
94,94 €

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